Friday, October 29, 2004

Politics: Go Pack!

I think it's about time we did a quick analysis of the most reliable predictor of Presidential elections: The Washington Redskins.

Yes, the NFL football team has correctly predicted the winner of each election since 1936. If the Redskins win their last home game prior to the election, the party in power remains in power. If they lose, the White House changes hands. This year the last home game is against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, October 31st. So, in an effort to give you something besides erratic polls to wade through, here's the latest analysis of upcoming match:

Green Bay: (3-4) 151 points for and 172 points against
Washington: (2-4) 84 points for and 95 points against

Recent history: Green Bay is 2-0 straight up against Washington since 1992. They also beat the spread both times.

The current line has Washington by less than 2 points.

According to John Clayton over at ESPN.com, Redskins quarterback Mark Brunell may win this one by sending his receivers against Green Bay's back up cornerbacks, Ahmad Carroll and Joey Thomas. First-string cornerback Al Harris will likely sit this one out due to a knee injury.

Vinnie Iyer at FoxSports, however, thinks that Brunell's history of critical mistakes will catch up with him against an improved Packer running defense. He's calling this one for Green Bay, 23-20. Imagine that, Fox picks Kerry.

In any case, this one should be a real nail-biter (kind of like the election). I guess I'll just have to take a study break from my psych exam to don a cheesehead on Sunday. Go Pack!

2 comments:

Garrett said...

then again, the Red Sox won the series... so who knows...

Anonymous said...

Go Green Bay!

kevin